Payback Period Calculator
With initial cost 25000 usd, cash flow a year 6000 usd, discount rate 8 percent, project life 20 years, payback period comes to 5.27 years — discounted payback. It is reached in 5 steps, the last of which is (-log(1 - 0.3333333) / log(1 + 0.08)), and each one is printed on the page with its numbers filled in. The formula is the one published by NIST Handbook 135, not an approximation fitted to it.
How long an investment takes to repay its own cost, both undiscounted and with the cost of capital applied — the two answers differ by years on a long project.
Formula and sources checked · How we check
Initial cost 25000, Cash flow a year 6000, Discount rate 8, Project life 20 years
5.27 years
Discounted payback for the example below. Editing a field recomputes the calculator below; this figure holds the answer the page was loaded with.
It is written into the HTML rather than drawn by a script, so a search engine reading this page without running JavaScript still finds an answer.
- Simple payback
25000 / 60004.167- Discounted payback
(-log(1 - 0.3333333) / log(1 + 0.08))5.268- Cash over the whole life
6000 * 20120,000- Net gain over the life
120000 - 25000$95,000- Return on the cost
95000 / 25000 * 100380
Worked example
A $25,000 outlay returning $6,000 a year pays back in 4.17 years if a dollar in 2031 is worth a dollar today. At an 8% cost of capital it takes 5.27 years — a year and three months longer, because the later dollars are worth less than the early ones. Over a twenty-year life the project returns $120,000 on a $25,000 cost.
How to work it out yourself
- 1.Use net cash flow, not revenue. The payback on a machine is what it earns after the power, the maintenance and the operator, and using the gross figure is the single most common way a payback comes out half what it should be.
- 2.Set the discount rate to what the money would actually earn — the cost of borrowing, or the return on the alternative project. Zero is a defensible answer only for cash that has nowhere else to go.
- 3.Check the payback against the asset’s life before believing it. A seven-year payback on a five-year roof is a project that never repays, and the simple payback figure will not say so on its own.
- 4.Payback ignores everything after the break-even day. Two projects with the same payback are not equally good if one keeps paying for fifteen more years, which is why it is a screening test and net present value is the decision.
Payback by annual cash flow
| Cash flow a year (usd) | Discounted payback | Simple payback | Discounted payback |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3000 | 14.27 years | 8.33 | 14.27 |
| 4000 | 9.01 years | 6.25 | 9.01 |
| 5000 | 6.64 years | 5 | 6.64 |
| 6000 | 5.27 years | 4.17 | 5.27 |
| 8000 | 3.74 years | 3.13 | 3.74 |
| 10000 | 2.90 years | 2.5 | 2.9 |
The formula
- Simple payback
25000 / 6000 - Discounted payback
(-log(1 - 0.3333333) / log(1 + 0.08)) - Cash over the whole life
6000 * 20 - Net gain over the life
120000 - 25000 - Return on the cost
95000 / 25000 * 100
Source: NIST Handbook 135 — life-cycle costing manual for the federal energy management program, 10 CFR 436 subpart A — methodology for estimating life-cycle costs
Questions people actually ask
- What is the payback period formula?
- Simple payback is the initial cost divided by the annual cash flow. Discounted payback solves the annuity: n = −ln(1 − C·r / F) ÷ ln(1 + r), where C is the cost, F the yearly flow and r the discount rate. Where C·r is at least F, the discounted stream never covers the cost.
- Why is the discounted payback longer?
- Because a dollar arriving in year six is worth less than one arriving now, so it takes more of them to repay the same cost. At 8% the gap on a four-year simple payback is about a year. The higher the rate, the wider it gets — and above a threshold the project never pays back at all.
- What is a good payback period?
- It depends on the asset’s life, not on a fixed number. A two-year payback on equipment that lasts three years is worse than a six-year payback on a roof that lasts thirty. Industrial rules of thumb of "under three years" exist because they screen out projects whose life is uncertain, not because three is meaningful.
- Should I use payback or NPV?
- Both, for different questions. Payback answers "when do I get my money back", which is a liquidity question. Net present value answers "does this make me richer", which is the investment question. Payback ignores every dollar after the break-even point, so it will always prefer the shorter, smaller project.
Related
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- Present Value CalculatorWhat a future sum, or a stream of payments, is worth today at a given discount rate. Names what the wait costs, as money and as a share of the nominal total.
- Investment CalculatorWhat regular contributions grow to over time, with the inflation-adjusted figure beside the nominal one.
- Compound Interest CalculatorFuture value of a starting balance plus monthly contributions, separating what you put in from what the interest earned.
- WACC CalculatorWeighted average cost of capital from the equity and debt in the mix, with the cost of equity derived through CAPM.
- Savings Goal CalculatorThe monthly contribution needed to reach a target by a date, given what you have saved already.
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